As of October 24, 2026, 09:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Juice Head at 44.0% in Which nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco? — $769 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Juice Head, is priced at 44.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.0 pts; past month: +1.0 pts.
Since April 01, 2026, Juice Head has traded between 30.0% and 51.5%. It opened at 37.0% and last traded at 44.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 43.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 44.0% |
Juice Head is favored at 44.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juice Head | 44¢ | 44.0% | — | $225 | 29.2% |
| Lucy | 42¢ | 42.5% | — | $353 | 45.8% |
| Alp | 42¢ | 41.5% | -0.5 pts | $62 | 8.0% |
| Sesh | 41¢ | 41.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fre | 40¢ | 40.0% | +11.0 pts | $130 | 16.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 80¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$769 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed nicotine pouch brand is bought or otherwise acquired by Big Tobacco between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Big Tobacco" is defined as any of the following corporations: Philip Morris International, British American Tobacco, Japan Tobacco International, Imperial Brands, Altria, or China Tobacco. Any change of name of these companies will not affect the resolution of this market provided they remain major names in the tobacco industry. Any change in the name of the listed nicotine pouch brand will similarly not affect the resolution of this market. Any acquisition which gives Big Tobacco ownership of the rights to the nicotine pouch product will qualify even if Big Tobacco does not acquire the entire company, whether through a merger, asset purchase, or stock purchase. This market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twin-Brow | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Pretty-Seaside | No | 1 | $1 |
| Esteemed-Endoderm | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 1 | $1 |
| Squiggly-Waiting | Yes | 1 | $0 |
| Limping-Shape | No | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 06:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.5% | $0 |
| Sep 24, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $5 |
| Aug 23, 09:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 18.0% | $1 |
| Aug 16, 02:14 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Aug 16, 02:14 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.4% | $0 |
| Jul 03, 01:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 50.0% | $45 |
| Jul 03, 12:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $2 |
| Jul 03, 12:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $2 |
| Jul 03, 12:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $2 |
| Jul 03, 12:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Juice Head at 44.0%. Next is Lucy at 42.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-nicotine-pouch-brands-will-be-bought-by-big-tobacco?via=bro
$769 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Juice Head, priced at 44.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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