As of October 24, 2026, 09:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 83.0% in Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? — $2.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 83.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -1.5 pts; past month: +42.0 pts.
Since June 03, 2026, Yes has traded between 25.5% and 85.5%. It opened at 56.0% and last traded at 83.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.0% |
Yes is favored at 83.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 83¢ | 83.0% | -0.5 pts | $2.0K | 100.0% |
| No | 17¢ | 17.0% | +0.5 pts | $2.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 14¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.0K has been traded on this event in total, $2 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 133 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Disgusting-Avocado-Ostrich | No | 133 | $23 |
| Scared-Grouse | Yes | 127 | $106 |
| Insignificant-Hatred | No | 110 | $19 |
| Dense-Whip | Yes | 99 | $82 |
| Advanced-Mortgage | No | 50 | $8 |
| Winged-Maker | Yes | 47 | $39 |
| Elated-Issue | Yes | 45 | $37 |
| Strange-Minimum | No | 44 | $7 |
| Sophisticated-Exit | Yes | 36 | $29 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 34 | $28 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 10:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 10:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 10:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 05:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 05:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 03:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 11:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 12.0% | $12 |
| Oct 16, 03:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $24 |
| Oct 14, 10:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 71.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 83.0%. Next is No at 17.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-an-artwork-sell-for-150-million-by-december-31?via=bro
$2.0K in total volume, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 83.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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