As of October 24, 2026, 08:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 51.0% in Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? — $3.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 51.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -8.5 pts; past month: -22.5 pts.
Since June 01, 2026, No has traded between 8.0% and 54.0%. It opened at 20.0% and last traded at 51.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 40.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 51.0% |
No is favored at 51.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 51¢ | 51.0% | -0.5 pts | $3.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 49¢ | 49.0% | +0.5 pts | $3.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 38¢ / ask 60¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify. A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify. This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 192 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unlucky-Pounding | No | 192 | $98 |
| Poor-Scene | Yes | 150 | $73 |
| Austere-Tussle | Yes | 124 | $61 |
| Green-Birdwatcher | Yes | 113 | $55 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere | Yes | 110 | $54 |
| Bumpy-Underground-Codling | No | 83 | $42 |
| figman | No | 70 | $36 |
| 0x0d867fa2… | No | 68 | $35 |
| Large-Square | Yes | 64 | $32 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 60 | $29 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 08:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $16 |
| Oct 22, 06:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 40.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 03:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 41.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 10:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 03:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 02:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 64.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 05:04 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 06:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 02:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 39.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 12:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 51.0%. Next is Yes at 49.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-banksy-create-a-new-mural-or-street-artwork-by-december-31?via=bro
$3.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 51.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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