Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑$42.5B at 2.9% in Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31? — $83.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
↑$42.5B
3%
A 2.9% price implies roughly a 3-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −0.1 pts30D −0.6 pts
↑$42.5B2.9%
↑$45B2.3%
Bid
3¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
0¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since May 19, 2026: 2.9% – 93.0% · Opened at 84.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Category
Privates, Finance, Big Tech, AI, Canva, Recurring
Scheduled end
January 01, 2027, 07:00 AM ET
Total volume
$83.0K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$4.3K
Markets
6
Leading outcome
↑$42.5B — 2.9%
Resolution source
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, ↑$42.5B, is priced at 2.9%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -0.6 pts.

Since May 19, 2026, ↑$42.5B has traded between 2.9% and 93.0%. It opened at 84.0% and last traded at 2.9%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 20263.1%
Oct 17, 20262.9%
Oct 18, 20262.9%
Oct 19, 20262.9%
Oct 20, 20262.9%
Oct 22, 20262.9%
Oct 23, 20262.9%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

↑$42.5B is favored at 2.9%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
↑$42.5B3¢2.9%—$2.1K2.6%
↑$45B2¢2.3%—$11.0K13.3%
↑$50B2¢2.1%+0.1 pts$16.6K20.0%
↑$60B2¢1.8%—$6.2K7.5%
↑$100B1¢1.4%—$4.2K5.1%
↑$75B1¢1.0%—$7.0K8.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$83.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 07:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canva's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 363 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Pink-DailyNo363$353
Belated-GlueYes108$3
Straight-HuntingYes100$3
Known-UseYes93$3
Quirky-PostfixNo40$39
True-HighlightNo38$37
Untimely-Shield-TroutYes31$1
Wise-KeyboardYes27$1
Rowdy-TenementYes25$1
Odd-RelishYes18$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $1.1K at 93.0%BUY No — $438 at 86.0%BUY No — $364 at 91.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 12:20 PM ETYesSELL1.0%$0
Oct 20, 02:31 PM ETYesBUY2.1%$2
Oct 17, 06:10 PM ETNoSELL98.9%$4
Oct 17, 06:10 PM ETYesSELL0.9%$2
Oct 17, 03:10 PM ETYesBUY2.1%$2
Oct 14, 05:45 AM ETNoSELL97.1%$10
Oct 10, 10:23 PM ETNoSELL97.1%$33
Oct 04, 11:36 AM ETNoSELL98.9%$49
Sep 30, 04:32 AM ETNoSELL99.0%$3
Sep 30, 04:32 AM ETNoSELL99.1%$174

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑$42.5B at 2.9%. Next is ↑$45B at 2.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-canvas-valuation-hit-by-december-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31??

$83.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.

When does Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 07:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

↑$42.5B, priced at 2.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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