As of October 24, 2026, 07:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑$42.5B at 2.9% in Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31? — $83.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↑$42.5B, is priced at 2.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -0.6 pts.
Since May 19, 2026, ↑$42.5B has traded between 2.9% and 93.0%. It opened at 84.0% and last traded at 2.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 3.1% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 2.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 2.9% |
↑$42.5B is favored at 2.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑$42.5B | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $2.1K | 2.6% |
| ↑$45B | 2¢ | 2.3% | — | $11.0K | 13.3% |
| ↑$50B | 2¢ | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $16.6K | 20.0% |
| ↑$60B | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $6.2K | 7.5% |
| ↑$100B | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $4.2K | 5.1% |
| ↑$75B | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $7.0K | 8.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$83.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 07:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canva's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 363 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pink-Daily | No | 363 | $353 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 108 | $3 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 100 | $3 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 93 | $3 |
| Quirky-Postfix | No | 40 | $39 |
| True-Highlight | No | 38 | $37 |
| Untimely-Shield-Trout | Yes | 31 | $1 |
| Wise-Keyboard | Yes | 27 | $1 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 25 | $1 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 18 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 02:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.1% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 06:10 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.9% | $4 |
| Oct 17, 06:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.9% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 03:10 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.1% | $2 |
| Oct 14, 05:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.1% | $10 |
| Oct 10, 10:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.1% | $33 |
| Oct 04, 11:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.9% | $49 |
| Sep 30, 04:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $3 |
| Sep 30, 04:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.1% | $174 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑$42.5B at 2.9%. Next is ↑$45B at 2.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-canvas-valuation-hit-by-december-31?via=bro
$83.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 07:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates.
↑$42.5B, priced at 2.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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