As of October 24, 2026, 08:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 88.5% in Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? — $3.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 88.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +0.5 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, No has traded between 50.0% and 89.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 88.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.5% |
No is favored at 88.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 88¢ | 88.5% | — | $3.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $3.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report covering 2026 ranks China as #2 in total art market sales. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, total art market sales refers to both dealer and auction segments. If China is tied with another country for second greatest total art market sales, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market will resolve according to the annual Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report covering the 2026 calendar year. If no such report is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 545 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Queasy-Airship | No | 545 | $482 |
| 0xa98eb807… | Yes | 500 | $57 |
| Past-Disguise | Yes | 251 | $29 |
| Wilted-Quinoa | No | 206 | $182 |
| Capital-Bouquet | No | 153 | $136 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 87 | $10 |
| Ambitious-Optimist | Yes | 83 | $10 |
| Spotted-Casualty | No | 78 | $69 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 52 | $6 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 50 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 08:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 10:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 03:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $9 |
| Oct 15, 09:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 03:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 03:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $18 |
| Oct 11, 11:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 10, 10:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $8 |
| Oct 10, 10:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $14 |
| Oct 06, 09:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 88.5%. Next is Yes at 11.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-become-the-2-global-art-market-in-2026-20260626194726882?via=bro
$3.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 88.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.