As of October 24, 2026, 08:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 99.1% in Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026? — $2.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 99.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -0.9 pts.
Since July 31, 2026, No has traded between 90.0% and 99.3%. It opened at 90.0% and last traded at 99.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.1% |
No is favored at 99.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99¢ | 99.1% | — | $2.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $2.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if FIFA sells an equity stake in FIFA Forward Enterprise, or in any other entity that holds commercial rights to or operates the FIFA World Cup, to one or more outside investors by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An outside investor refers to any person not employed, or entity not owned or controlled, by FIFA, its member associations, or its confederations. A qualifying sale refers to an outside investor acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the entity. Non-equity financial instruments, sponsorship agreements, broadcast rights agreements, and other commercial contracts that do not convey ownership in the entity will not count. An official announcement by FIFA or by a purchasing investor of a completed qualifying sale, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying sale, within this market's timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Approvals of the entity's creation, proposals, negotiations, letters of intent, or other announcements which do not announce a completed sale or a binding sale agreement will not count. The entity need not be named FIFA Forward Enterprise, provided it fulfills the description above. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 711 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forked-Pricing | No | 711 | $704 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 521 | $5 |
| Genuine-Tribe | Yes | 150 | $1 |
| Modern-Malice | No | 140 | $139 |
| Shabby-Personnel-Lift | Yes | 111 | $1 |
| Rowdy-Storyboard | Yes | 88 | $1 |
| Optimal-Communion | No | 85 | $84 |
| Flimsy-Hydrolysis | No | 70 | $69 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 63 | $1 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 41 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 10:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.6% | $2 |
| Sep 12, 09:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $5 |
| Sep 10, 10:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.8% | $0 |
| Sep 10, 03:03 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.9% | $2 |
| Sep 10, 02:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $2 |
| Sep 09, 11:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.1% | $3 |
| Sep 09, 08:35 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.4% | $9 |
| Sep 09, 07:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $3 |
| Sep 09, 04:19 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.6% | $5 |
| Sep 09, 02:40 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.9% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 99.1%. Next is Yes at 0.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-fifa-sell-equity-in-the-world-cup-in-2026-20260731200630377?via=bro
$2.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 99.1% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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