As of October 24, 2026, 09:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 62.5% in Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? — $432 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 62.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +1.5 pts.
Since June 05, 2026, No has traded between 41.0% and 89.5%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 62.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 62.5% |
No is favored at 62.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 62¢ | 62.5% | — | $432 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 38¢ | 37.5% | — | $432 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 35¢ (bid 20¢ / ask 55¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$432 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report scheduled to be published in 2027 reports total global art market sales for 2026 as $65 billion or greater. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, total global art market sales refers to the sales of both dealers and auctions. If the 2027 Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report recording 2026 art market sales is not published by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the official Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report as published at artbasel.com.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 44 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capital-Bouquet | No | 44 | $28 |
| Early-Directory | Yes | 26 | $10 |
| Queasy-Airship | Yes | 23 | $9 |
| Sophisticated-Exit | Yes | 12 | $5 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 10 | $4 |
| Drafty-Airbag-Hold | No | 10 | $6 |
| Untimely-Eyeglasses | No | 10 | $6 |
| 0x28a66540… | Yes | 9 | $3 |
| Profuse-Moon | Yes | 8 | $3 |
| Tricky-Usher | No | 8 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 07:49 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $2 |
| Oct 11, 03:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 06:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.2% | $5 |
| Sep 29, 07:35 AM ET | No | SELL | 46.0% | $0 |
| Sep 27, 05:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 44.0% | $1 |
| Sep 21, 12:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $3 |
| Sep 19, 03:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 43.0% | $2 |
| Sep 16, 04:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $1 |
| Sep 16, 01:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.2% | $5 |
| Sep 14, 03:35 AM ET | No | SELL | 26.2% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 62.5%. Next is Yes at 37.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-global-art-market-sales-hit-65-billion-for-2026-20260605225003542?via=bro
$432 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 62.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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