As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 74.5% in Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028? — $168 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 74.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -3.0 pts.
Since September 29, 2026, No has traded between 50.0% and 86.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 74.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 74.5% |
No is favored at 74.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 74¢ | 74.5% | — | $168 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 26¢ | 25.5% | — | $168 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 29¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$168 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeff Bezos is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Jeff Bezos crosses the internationally recognized Kármán line will not impact this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 47 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 47 | $35 |
| Thirsty-Contribution-Plover | Yes | 35 | $9 |
| Impure-Reunion-Midcourse | Yes | 25 | $6 |
| Tricky-Usher | No | 24 | $18 |
| Slippery-Reindeer | Yes | 15 | $4 |
| Pristine-Lipoprotein | No | 4 | $3 |
| Near-Tshirt | Yes | 3 | $1 |
| Little-Anguish | No | 1 | $1 |
| Luminous-Insectarium | No | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 02:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 07:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $1 |
| Oct 04, 01:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 61.0% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 06:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.0% | $4 |
| Oct 02, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $7 |
| Oct 02, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.0% | $4 |
| Oct 02, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $7 |
| Oct 02, 11:15 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 11:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 74.5%. Next is Yes at 25.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jeff-bezos-go-to-space-before-2028?via=bro
$168 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 74.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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