As of October 24, 2026, 09:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 144.5 billion at 99.5% in Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by October 31? — $1.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 144.5 billion, is priced at 99.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +54.4 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, 144.5 billion has traded between 39.5% and 99.5%. It opened at 40.0% and last traded at 99.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 90.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.5% |
144.5 billion is favored at 99.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144.5 billion | 99¢ | 99.5% | +1.5 pts | $317 | 18.3% |
| 145 billion | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $39 | 2.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 99¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.7K has been traded on this event in total, $36 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits at least the specified number of views by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 130 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Granny | Yes | 130 | $129 |
| Ugly-Advertising | No | 110 | $1 |
| Heavy-Thunderhead | No | 21 | $0 |
| Numb-Compulsion | No | 14 | $0 |
| Practical-Wit | Yes | 7 | $7 |
| Long-Term-Fog | Yes | 7 | $7 |
| United-Premier | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 07:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.7% | $21 |
| Oct 21, 09:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.3% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 09:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 12:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $5 |
| Oct 18, 07:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 26.0% | $20 |
| Oct 16, 11:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $83 |
| Oct 12, 03:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 01:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $4 |
| Oct 08, 05:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is 144.5 billion at 99.5%. Next is 145 billion at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-billion-views-by-october-31-2026?via=bro
$1.7K in total volume, with $36 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
144.5 billion, priced at 99.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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