As of October 24, 2026, 09:11 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.9% in Will Sneako be deported in 2026? — $939 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.2 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.
Since August 07, 2026, No has traded between 94.2% and 97.5%. It opened at 96.0% and last traded at 95.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.9% |
No is favored at 95.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 95.9% | -0.1 pts | $939 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 4.1% | +0.1 pts | $939 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$939 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 247 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nutty-Impostor | No | 247 | $237 |
| Quizzical-Hire | Yes | 222 | $9 |
| Sarcastic-Commandment | No | 208 | $200 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 121 | $5 |
| Devoted-Crumb | Yes | 102 | $4 |
| Rotten-Empowerment | Yes | 36 | $1 |
| Punctual-Sand | No | 22 | $21 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 20 | $1 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 20 | $19 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | No | 5 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 06:36 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 04:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $19 |
| Oct 13, 04:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Sep 18, 09:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.2% | $9 |
| Sep 14, 02:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.2% | $73 |
| Sep 09, 04:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.9% | $5 |
| Aug 16, 09:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $72 |
| Aug 13, 01:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Aug 09, 12:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.9% | $21 |
| Aug 08, 01:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.9%. Next is Yes at 4.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sneako-be-deported-in-2026-20260807154140938?via=bro
$939 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.9% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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