As of October 24, 2026, 08:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 89.5% in Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? — $2.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 89.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -1.5 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since May 26, 2026, No has traded between 50.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 89.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.5% |
No is favored at 89.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90¢ | 89.5% | -1.0 pts | $2.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 10¢ | 10.5% | +1.0 pts | $2.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 16¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork. Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 579 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Downright-Website | No | 579 | $518 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 176 | $18 |
| Impure-Moai | Yes | 160 | $17 |
| Green-Birdwatcher | No | 110 | $98 |
| Slushy-Snow | Yes | 80 | $8 |
| Keen-Nectar | Yes | 66 | $7 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 60 | $6 |
| Radiant-Variant | Yes | 41 | $4 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 35 | $4 |
| Lazy-Labor | No | 30 | $27 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 03:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 04:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $25 |
| Oct 20, 04:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $7 |
| Oct 10, 10:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $3 |
| Oct 10, 07:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $30 |
| Oct 08, 02:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $1 |
| Oct 06, 06:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $0 |
| Sep 28, 04:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $25 |
| Sep 25, 04:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $4 |
| Sep 20, 03:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 89.5%. Next is Yes at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-salvator-mundi-be-publicly-exhibited-by-december-31?via=bro
$2.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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