Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)

As of October 24, 2026, 06:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Housewife - Tate McRae at 97.8% in #1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30) — $2.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.2K.
Leading outcome
Housewife - Tate McRae
98%
A 97.8% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +27.3 pts
Housewife - Tate McRae97.8%
Song 350.0%
Bid
96¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 23, 2026: 48.5% – 97.8% · Opened at 48.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)
Category
song, Music, album, Culture, spotify, Recurring, celebrity
Scheduled end
October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.2K
Volume (24h)
$2.2K
Liquidity
$5.2K
Markets
13
Leading outcome
Housewife - Tate McRae — 97.8%
Resolution source
https://open.spotify.com/charts

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Housewife - Tate McRae, is priced at 97.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +27.3 pts.

Since October 23, 2026, Housewife - Tate McRae has traded between 48.5% and 97.8%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 97.8%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Housewife - Tate McRae is favored at 97.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Housewife - Tate McRae98¢97.8%+27.3 pts$61627.9%
Song 350¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Song 450¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Song 550¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Song 650¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Song 750¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA1¢0.5%-12.4 pts$24911.3%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley1¢0.5%-12.4 pts$34915.8%
Earrings - Malcolm Todd1¢0.5%-24.9 pts$24811.2%
stupid song - Olivia Rodrigo1¢0.5%-24.9 pts$24911.3%
the cure - Olivia Rodrigo1¢0.5%-24.9 pts$24911.3%
expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan1¢0.5%-12.4 pts$24811.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.2K has been traded on this event in total, $2.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled October 30. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled October 30 by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Resolution source: https://open.spotify.com/charts

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 604 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Empty-DistortionYes604$591
Evil-RowNo299$7
Brown-AccountabilityNo224$5
Colorful-LyreNo42$1
0xa5ef39c3…No21$0
Voluminous-LavaNo20$0
Skeletal-LiverYes2$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $345 at 97.8%BUY Yes — $249 at 99.0%BUY No — $240 at 99.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 03:19 AM ETYesSELL2.0%$1
Oct 24, 12:12 AM ETYesBUY99.0%$249
Oct 23, 11:52 PM ETYesBUY97.8%$345
Oct 23, 11:49 PM ETNoBUY98.8%$209
Oct 23, 11:49 PM ETNoBUY99.0%$240
Oct 23, 10:35 PM ETNoBUY99.0%$80
Oct 23, 06:46 PM ETNoBUY98.0%$6
Oct 23, 06:46 PM ETNoBUY7.2%$0
Oct 23, 06:46 PM ETNoBUY98.0%$6
Oct 23, 05:39 PM ETYesBUY50.0%$2

Related markets

More song

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of November 7

Housewife - Tate McRae 55.0% · 24H VOL $2.0K

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 7

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo 92.5% · 24H VOL $2.0K

#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)

Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA 55.5% · 24H VOL $1.5K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of #1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Housewife - Tate McRae at 97.8%. Next is Song 3 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/1-spotify-song-in-the-us-this-week-october-30?via=bro

How much money has been traded on #1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)?

$2.2K in total volume, with $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.

When does #1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30) end?

The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://open.spotify.com/charts.

What is the most likely outcome of #1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30), according to Polymarket traders?

Housewife - Tate McRae, priced at 97.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.