As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA at 55.5% in #2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30) — $1.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA, is priced at 55.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +30.0 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA has traded between 26.0% and 56.0%. It opened at 26.0% and last traded at 56.0%.
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA is favored at 55.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA | 56¢ | 55.5% | +30.0 pts | $335 | 22.4% |
| Song 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 4 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 5 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 6 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 7 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley | 38¢ | 38.5% | +13.0 pts | $85 | 5.7% |
| expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan | 3¢ | 2.6% | -6.4 pts | $30 | 2.0% |
| Earrings - Malcolm Todd | 3¢ | 2.5% | -22.4 pts | $258 | 17.3% |
| stupid song - Olivia Rodrigo | 2¢ | 2.5% | -23.0 pts | $258 | 17.3% |
| the cure - Olivia Rodrigo | 2¢ | 2.5% | -10.5 pts | $258 | 17.3% |
| Housewife - Tate McRae | 2¢ | 2.5% | -22.5 pts | $271 | 18.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 51¢ / ask 60¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.5K has been traded on this event in total, $1.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled October 30. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled October 30 by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Resolution source: https://open.spotify.com/charts
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 205 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Droopy-Hold-Boss | No | 205 | $91 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 40 | $22 |
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 40 | $22 |
| Weird-Ephemeris-Exception | Yes | 40 | $22 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 25 | $11 |
| Jealous-Bat | Yes | 20 | $11 |
| Little-Pop | Yes | 20 | $11 |
| Sunny-Smoking | Yes | 20 | $11 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | Yes | 20 | $11 |
| Yearly-Takeover | Yes | 20 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 52.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 11:12 AM ET | No | SELL | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 11:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 10:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 10:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 29.9% | $48 |
| Oct 24, 10:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 64.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 10:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 10:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 10:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 10:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA at 55.5%. Next is Song 3 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2-spotify-song-in-the-us-this-week-october-30?via=bro
$1.5K in total volume, with $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://open.spotify.com/charts.
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA, priced at 55.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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