As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Housewife - Tate McRae at 55.0% in Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of November 7 — $2.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Housewife - Tate McRae, is priced at 55.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +29.5 pts.
Housewife - Tate McRae is favored at 55.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Housewife - Tate McRae | 55¢ | 55.0% | +29.5 pts | $633 | 31.2% |
| Song 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 4 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 5 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 6 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley | 36¢ | 36.0% | +10.5 pts | $1.1K | 56.3% |
| Patient Zero - Taylor Swift | 3¢ | 2.6% | -5.3 pts | $57 | 2.8% |
| Been By Now - Morgan Wallen | 3¢ | 2.6% | -10.3 pts | $42 | 2.1% |
| expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan | 3¢ | 2.6% | -22.4 pts | $37 | 1.8% |
| Solar Eclipse - Drake & Don Toliver | 1¢ | 0.5% | -11.9 pts | $62 | 3.1% |
| Boston - Stella Lefty | 0¢ | 0.4% | -12.6 pts | $57 | 2.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.0K has been traded on this event in total, $2.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of November 7, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 586 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yearly-Takeover | Yes | 586 | $322 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | No | 221 | $99 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 150 | $68 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 67 | $30 |
| Evil-Row | No | 48 | $22 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 47 | $21 |
| Detailed-Parachute | No | 40 | $18 |
| Sunny-Smoking | No | 20 | $9 |
| Helpful-Examination | Yes | 7 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 03:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 28.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 28.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 02:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 02:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 01:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 47.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 47.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Housewife - Tate McRae at 55.0%. Next is Song 1 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/billboard-hot-100-1-song-week-of-november-7?via=bro
$2.0K in total volume, with $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Housewife - Tate McRae, priced at 55.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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