Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 7

As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo at 92.5% in Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 7 — $2.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.0K.
Leading outcome
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo
92%
A 92.5% price implies roughly a 92-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +67.5 pts
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo92.5%
Album B50.0%
Bid
92¢
Ask
93¢
Spread
1¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 7
Category
song, Music, album, Culture, Recurring, Taylor Swift
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.0K
Volume (24h)
$2.0K
Liquidity
$10.6K
Markets
12
Leading outcome
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo — 92.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo, is priced at 92.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +67.5 pts.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo is favored at 92.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo92¢92.5%+67.5 pts$1.6K80.6%
Album B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Album C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Album D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Album E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Album F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore4¢4.0%-21.5 pts$703.5%
LISA - Press Play3¢2.8%-22.7 pts$1055.3%
Drake - HABIBTI (FOMO)2¢1.8%-23.2 pts$703.5%
Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs2¢1.8%-23.6 pts$703.5%
Dandelion - Ella Langley1¢1.1%-23.9 pts$703.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 92¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.0K has been traded on this event in total, $2.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of November 7, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 950 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Yearly-TakeoverYes950$878
Belated-GlueNo438$33
Grumpy-InvaderNo150$11
0xa5ef39c3…No70$5
Honorable-DinghyNo50$4
Advanced-MailerNo49$4
Plump-ImplementationNo39$3
Direct-ChainstayNo37$3
Impassioned-ChastityNo31$2
Absolute-Cockpit-DungareesNo23$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $747 at 82.2%BUY Yes — $46 at 91.0%BUY Yes — $28 at 32.4%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETYesSELL91.0%$0
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETYesBUY92.0%$14
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETYesBUY91.0%$46
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETYesBUY91.0%$14
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETNoSELL9.0%$13
Oct 24, 04:46 AM ETNoSELL9.0%$2
Oct 24, 04:45 AM ETNoBUY93.0%$5
Oct 24, 04:45 AM ETNoBUY99.6%$5
Oct 24, 04:45 AM ETNoSELL11.0%$2
Oct 24, 04:45 AM ETNoBUY93.0%$9

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 7?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo at 92.5%. Next is Album B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/billboard-200-1-album-week-of-november-7?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 7?

$2.0K in total volume, with $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.

When does Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 7 end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 7, according to Polymarket traders?

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo, priced at 92.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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