As of October 24, 2026, 09:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Driver A at 50.0% in F1 Drivers' Champion: 4th Place — $255 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Driver A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Driver A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Driver A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Driver E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 49¢ | 49.0% | +2.5 pts | $10 | 3.9% |
| Lando Norris | 46¢ | 46.0% | +4.5 pts | $10 | 3.9% |
| Charles Leclerc | 46¢ | 45.5% | -1.5 pts | $10 | 3.9% |
| Max Verstappen | 45¢ | 45.0% | +3.0 pts | $10 | 3.9% |
| George Russell | 44¢ | 44.0% | +3.5 pts | $10 | 3.9% |
| Oscar Piastri | 43¢ | 42.8% | +0.1 pts | $10 | 3.9% |
| Kimi Antonelli | 40¢ | 39.5% | -1.0 pts | $145 | 56.9% |
| Isack Hadjar | 36¢ | 35.5% | -6.0 pts | $50 | 19.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$255 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 05, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 4th in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for fourth place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine final positions in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to finish 4th in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Decimal-Phosphate-Marriage | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 10 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 04:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $40 |
| Oct 14, 04:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $5 |
| Oct 14, 04:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $73 |
| Oct 14, 04:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.0% | $5 |
| Oct 14, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $5 |
| Oct 14, 04:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.8% | $29 |
| Oct 14, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $5 |
| Oct 14, 04:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Driver A at 50.0%. Next is Driver B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion-4th-place?via=bro
$255 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 05, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
Driver A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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