As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $190 at 73.7% in Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of October? — $895 traded so far.
The leading outcome, $190, is priced at 73.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -15.9 pts.
Since September 25, 2026, $190 has traded between 50.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 73.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 79.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.7% |
$190 is favored at 73.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $190 | 74¢ | 73.7% | — | $90 | 10.1% |
| $200 | 70¢ | 70.5% | +18.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $230 | 70¢ | 70.0% | +16.0 pts | $114 | 12.7% |
| $240 | 68¢ | 68.0% | +17.0 pts | $14 | 1.6% |
| $250 | 68¢ | 68.0% | -3.0 pts | $5 | 0.6% |
| $220 | 62¢ | 62.0% | +10.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $260 | 51¢ | 51.0% | +0.5 pts | $54 | 6.1% |
| $210 | 51¢ | 50.6% | -3.3 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $270 | 48¢ | 47.5% | +0.5 pts | $3 | 0.3% |
| $290 | 38¢ | 37.5% | -9.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $300 | 32¢ | 31.6% | -16.9 pts | $35 | 3.9% |
| $280 | 31¢ | 31.0% | -18.5 pts | $5 | 0.6% |
| $310 | 9¢ | 9.3% | -28.8 pts | $575 | 64.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 52¢ (bid 47¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$895 has been traded on this event in total, $15 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 60 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue-Supplement | Yes | 60 | $44 |
| Required-Horn | No | 50 | $13 |
| Dependable-Destroyer | Yes | 30 | $22 |
| Better-Browsing | No | 30 | $8 |
| Voluminous-Lava | No | 10 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 08:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 84.0% | $96 |
| Oct 22, 09:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $30 |
| Oct 21, 03:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $52 |
| Oct 21, 03:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.7% | $60 |
| Oct 19, 06:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $20 |
| Oct 15, 09:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.3% | $1 |
| Oct 08, 10:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $4 |
| Sep 30, 05:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $200 |
| Sep 27, 10:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $49 |
| Sep 26, 09:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is $190 at 73.7%. Next is $200 at 70.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/amzn-above-in-october-2026?via=bro
$895 in total volume, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 04:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.
$190, priced at 73.7% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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