As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 55.5% in Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? — $5.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 55.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: +8.0 pts; past month: +10.5 pts.
Since September 15, 2026, Yes has traded between 30.5% and 82.5%. It opened at 52.0% and last traded at 55.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.5% |
Yes is favored at 55.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56¢ | 55.5% | +3.0 pts | $5.8K | 100.0% |
| No | 44¢ | 44.5% | -3.0 pts | $5.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 58¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.8K has been traded on this event in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Formula 1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is currently scheduled to take place at Yas Marina Circuit in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, on December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix race takes place in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, during the 2026 Formula One World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such race has taken place in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of whether the 2026 FIA Formula One World Championship has been completed. A postponement, rescheduling or change of start time will not affect this market's resolution, so long as the race takes place in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi by March 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. A change of circuit within the Emirate of Abu Dhabi will not affect this market's resolution. A race held in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi as part of the 2026 FIA Formula One World Championship will count regardless of the official name of the event. If the race is cancelled, or relocated to a venue outside the Emirate of Abu Dhabi (including elsewhere in the United Arab Emirates), this market will resolve to "No". The race will be considered to have taken place if the Grand Prix race officially starts, regardless of whether the full scheduled race distance is completed or full points are awarded. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2026/united-arab-emirates
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 884 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delirious-Orator | Yes | 884 | $490 |
| Well-Informed-Pier | No | 514 | $229 |
| Honored-Peasant | Yes | 383 | $212 |
| Vivacious-Fondue | No | 381 | $170 |
| Heavy-Harbor | Yes | 329 | $183 |
| Daring-Pirate | No | 245 | $109 |
| Unaware-Elite | Yes | 221 | $123 |
| Teeming-Puppet | No | 211 | $94 |
| Harmful-Raincoat-Godfather | Yes | 190 | $106 |
| Idle-Soldier | No | 190 | $85 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 58.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 05:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 02:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 01:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 01:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 57.4% | $109 |
| Oct 23, 01:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 07:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 42.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 03:43 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 53.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 03:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 47.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 02:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 43.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 55.5%. Next is No at 44.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-abu-dhabi-grand-prix-take-place-2026-12-06?via=bro
$5.8K in total volume, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2026/united-arab-emirates.
Yes, priced at 55.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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