As of October 24, 2026, 09:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Charles Leclerc at 49.5% in Mexican Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position — $20 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Charles Leclerc, is priced at 49.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.0 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, Charles Leclerc has traded between 48.5% and 50.5%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 49.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 49.5% |
Charles Leclerc is favored at 49.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Leclerc | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kimi Antonelli | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Max Verstappen | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| George Russell | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oscar Piastri | 48¢ | 48.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Isack Hadjar | 48¢ | 48.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lando Norris | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pierre Gasly | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fernando Alonso | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alexander Albon | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sergio Perez | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $10 | 50.0% |
| Esteban Ocon | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Franco Colapinto | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Valtteri Bottas | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $10 | 50.0% |
| Oliver Bearman | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arvid Lindblad | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawson | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lance Stroll | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 95¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 07, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 7, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05, 04:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $10 |
| Oct 05, 04:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Charles Leclerc at 49.5%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-mexican-grand-prix-driver-pole-position-2026-10-31?via=bro
$20 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 07, 2026, 04:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races.
Charles Leclerc, priced at 49.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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