As of October 24, 2026, 09:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Max Verstappen at 42.0% in Mexican Grand Prix: Driver Winner — $30 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Max Verstappen, is priced at 42.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -16.0 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, Max Verstappen has traded between 41.0% and 68.5%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 42.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 42.0% |
Max Verstappen is favored at 42.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 42¢ | 42.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lando Norris | 39¢ | 39.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Charles Leclerc | 38¢ | 38.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kimi Antonelli | 34¢ | 34.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| George Russell | 32¢ | 32.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oscar Piastri | 30¢ | 30.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Isack Hadjar | 30¢ | 30.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 26¢ | 26.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fernando Alonso | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sergio Perez | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $10 | 33.3% |
| Esteban Ocon | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oliver Bearman | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawson | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pierre Gasly | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alexander Albon | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Franco Colapinto | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Valtteri Bottas | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $10 | 33.3% |
| Arvid Lindblad | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lance Stroll | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $10 | 33.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 30¢ (bid 27¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$30 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 08, 2026, 03:00 PM ET.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05, 04:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $10 |
| Oct 05, 04:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $10 |
| Oct 05, 04:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Max Verstappen at 42.0%. Next is Lando Norris at 39.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-mexican-grand-prix-winner-2026-11-01?via=bro
$30 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 08, 2026, 03:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races.
Max Verstappen, priced at 42.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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