As of October 24, 2026, 09:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ferrari at 50.0% in United States Grand Prix: Constructor Fastest Lap — $85 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ferrari, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.0 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, Ferrari has traded between 48.5% and 50.0%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 50.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.0% |
Ferrari is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mercedes | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Red Bull | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Cadillac | 50¢ | 49.9% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mclaren Mastercard | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Racing Bulls | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aston Martin | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $15 | 17.6% |
| Alpine | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $17 | 20.6% |
| Williams | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $17 | 20.6% |
| Audi Revolut | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $17 | 20.6% |
| Tgr Haas | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $17 | 20.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 96¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$85 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team whose driver achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 09:14 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $17 |
| Oct 18, 10:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $17 |
| Oct 18, 10:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ferrari at 50.0%. Next is Mercedes at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-united-states-grand-prix-constructor-fastest-lap-2026-10-25?via=bro
$85 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races.
Ferrari, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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