As of October 24, 2026, 09:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Mclaren Mastercard at 48.5% in United States Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st? — $217 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Mclaren Mastercard, is priced at 48.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +4.0 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, Mclaren Mastercard has traded between 44.5% and 50.0%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 48.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 48.5% |
Mclaren Mastercard is favored at 48.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mclaren Mastercard | 48¢ | 48.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mercedes | 48¢ | 48.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Red Bull | 48¢ | 48.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ferrari | 45¢ | 45.0% | -4.0 pts | $100 | 46.1% |
| Alpine | 25¢ | 25.0% | -0.1 pts | $12 | 5.5% |
| Aston Martin | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $22 | 10.4% |
| Williams | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $12 | 5.7% |
| Audi Revolut | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $12 | 5.7% |
| Tgr Haas | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $12 | 5.7% |
| Racing Bulls | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $12 | 5.7% |
| Cadillac | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $32 | 15.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 95¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$217 has been traded on this event in total, $100 of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the constructor who scored the most points for the specified session. For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $84 |
| Oct 22, 02:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $10 |
| Oct 05, 04:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $17 |
| Oct 04, 03:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $17 |
| Oct 04, 03:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $5 |
| Oct 04, 03:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Mclaren Mastercard at 48.5%. Next is Mercedes at 48.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-united-states-grand-prix-constructor-scores-1st-2026-10-25?via=bro
$217 in total volume, with $100 traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races.
Mclaren Mastercard, priced at 48.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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