As of October 24, 2026, 09:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yuki Tsunoda at 44.5% in United States Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap — $11 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yuki Tsunoda, is priced at 44.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: -3.5 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, Yuki Tsunoda has traded between 43.0% and 49.5%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 44.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 44.0% |
Yuki Tsunoda is favored at 44.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Tsunoda | 44¢ | 44.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kimi Antonelli | 36¢ | 35.5% | +9.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Charles Leclerc | 25¢ | 25.0% | +10.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Max Verstappen | 25¢ | 25.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oscar Piastri | 20¢ | 20.5% | +8.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Isack Hadjar | 18¢ | 18.5% | +7.0 pts | $11 | 100.0% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 13¢ | 13.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| George Russell | 12¢ | 11.5% | -5.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lando Norris | 8¢ | 8.0% | -6.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pierre Gasly | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fernando Alonso | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alexander Albon | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sergio Perez | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Esteban Ocon | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Franco Colapinto | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Valtteri Bottas | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oliver Bearman | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arvid Lindblad | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawson | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lance Stroll | 3¢ | 2.6% | -8.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
$11 has been traded on this event in total, $11 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yuki Tsunoda at 44.5%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 35.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-united-states-grand-prix-driver-fastest-lap-2026-10-25?via=bro
$11 in total volume, with $11 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races.
Yuki Tsunoda, priced at 44.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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