As of October 24, 2026, 09:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Lewis Hamilton at 50.5% in United States Grand Prix: Practice 3 Fastest Lap — $112 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Lewis Hamilton, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +1.0 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, Lewis Hamilton has traded between 49.5% and 50.5%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 50.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.5% |
Lewis Hamilton is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Hamilton | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $112 | 100.0% |
| Pierre Gasly | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fernando Alonso | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alexander Albon | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sergio Perez | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Esteban Ocon | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Franco Colapinto | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Valtteri Bottas | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oliver Bearman | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oscar Piastri | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arvid Lindblad | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Isack Hadjar | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lance Stroll | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Charles Leclerc | 50¢ | 49.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lando Norris | 50¢ | 49.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Max Verstappen | 50¢ | 49.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| George Russell | 50¢ | 49.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kimi Antonelli | 16¢ | 15.5% | -34.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawson | 3¢ | 2.5% | -46.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 99¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$112 has been traded on this event in total, $112 of it in the last 24 hours, across 24 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 01:30 PM ET.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 3 as published by the FIA. If Practice 3 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 112 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waterlogged-Historian | No | 112 | $55 |
| Soupy-Angina | Yes | 106 | $54 |
| Devoted-Trail | Yes | 6 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $105 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Lewis Hamilton at 50.5%. Next is Pierre Gasly at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-united-states-grand-prix-practice-3-fastest-lap-2026-10-24?via=bro
$112 in total volume, with $112 traded in the last 24 hours across 24 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 01:30 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races.
Lewis Hamilton, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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