As of October 24, 2026, 09:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 67.0% in Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? — $11 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 67.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -15.0 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, No has traded between 49.5% and 88.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 67.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 67.0% |
No is favored at 67.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 67¢ | 67.0% | +1.0 pts | $11 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 33¢ | 33.0% | -1.0 pts | $11 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 60¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 63¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11 has been traded on this event in total, $10 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a red flag is shown at any point during the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve to "No" if the race is completed without any red flag periods. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. A red flag shown during practice sessions, qualifying sessions, or any other session besides the main race does not count for this market. Only red flags shown during the Grand Prix race itself will result in a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 11 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frozen-Wrist | No | 11 | $7 |
| Front-Premier | Yes | 10 | $3 |
| Candid-Nut | Yes | 1 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 05:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 67.0%. Next is Yes at 33.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-united-states-grand-prix-red-flag-2026-10-25?via=bro
$11 in total volume, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races.
No, priced at 67.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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