As of October 24, 2026, 09:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 50.5% in Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? — $3 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -8.5 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, No has traded between 24.5% and 51.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 50.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.5% |
No is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $3 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $3 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 19¢ (bid 40¢ / ask 59¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3 has been traded on this event in total, $3 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a safety car is deployed at any point during the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve to "No" if the race is completed without any safety car deployment. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. Virtual Safety Car (VSC) deployments do not count as safety car deployments for the purpose of this market. Only physical safety car deployments where the safety car enters the track will result in a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-Organising | Yes | 3 | $2 |
| Fine-Ficlet-Inability | No | 3 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 59.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 50.5%. Next is Yes at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-united-states-grand-prix-safety-car-2026-10-25?via=bro
$3 in total volume, with $3 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races.
No, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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