As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 2 at 89.5% in How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? — $216.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 2, is priced at 89.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +3.0 pts.
Since July 06, 2026, 2 has traded between 54.0% and 89.5%. It opened at 54.0% and last traded at 89.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.5% |
2 is favored at 89.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 90¢ | 89.5% | — | $146.7K | 67.7% |
| 3 | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $50.0K | 23.1% |
| 4+ | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $15.5K | 7.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 89¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$216.8K has been traded on this event in total, $142 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution. To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 16,969 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 16,969 | $1.8K |
| Few-Prevention | No | 10,778 | $1.1K |
| Hateful-Generation | Yes | 10,000 | $9.0K |
| Steep-Visa | Yes | 9,765 | $8.7K |
| Specific-Crow | Yes | 5,571 | $5.0K |
| Pretty-Mother | Yes | 1,822 | $1.6K |
| Weird-Freedom | Yes | 1,000 | $895 |
| Handy-Grasshopper | Yes | 1,000 | $895 |
| ydxistheking | No | 652 | $68 |
| Anchored-Leprosy | No | 500 | $52 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:03 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.0% | $113 |
| Oct 24, 03:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 10:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 03:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 03:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.0% | $665 |
| Oct 23, 05:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 05:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.4% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 10.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 09:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 2 at 89.5%. Next is 3 at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-uk-prime-ministers-by-end-of-2027-20260706201826008?via=bro
$216.8K in total volume, with $142 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
2, priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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