Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Jack Doherty Prison Time?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No Prison Time at 97.2% in Jack Doherty Prison Time? — $28.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $186.
Leading outcome
No Prison Time
97%
A 97.2% price implies roughly a 97-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +3.6 pts7D +4.3 pts30D +5.1 pts
No Prison Time97.2%
<2 Years2.4%
Bid
96¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since November 20, 2025: 37.6% – 97.5% · Opened at 58.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Jack Doherty Prison Time?
Category
Celebrities, YouTube
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$28.1K
Volume (24h)
$186
Liquidity
$4.8K
Markets
4
Leading outcome
No Prison Time — 97.2%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No Prison Time, is priced at 97.2%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.6 pts; past week: +4.3 pts; past month: +5.1 pts.

Since November 20, 2025, No Prison Time has traded between 37.6% and 97.5%. It opened at 58.0% and last traded at 97.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202691.9%
Oct 18, 202692.3%
Oct 19, 202689.3%
Oct 20, 202690.3%
Oct 23, 202693.5%
Oct 24, 202696.5%
Oct 24, 202697.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No Prison Time is favored at 97.2%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No Prison Time97¢97.2%+3.6 pts$15.2K54.1%
<2 Years2¢2.4%-3.2 pts$3.7K13.3%
2-5 Years0¢0.4%-0.6 pts$3.6K12.7%
5+ Years0¢0.1%—$5.6K20.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$28.1K has been traded on this event in total, $186 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence. This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point. If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,146 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,146$32
0x91c363ac…Yes593$576
Tremendous-MailYes579$563
Muffled-ProteinYes430$418
Shocked-StadiumYes170$165
Belated-GlueNo150$4
Bouncy-SavingNo114$3
Dirty-SighNo99$3
Daring-ExcellenceNo72$2
0x4ad32cb6…Yes60$58

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $493 at 95.0%BUY No — $250 at 99.6%BUY Yes — $200 at 96.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:08 PM ETYesBUY97.1%$32
Oct 24, 02:10 AM ETNoBUY4.9%$0
Oct 24, 12:40 AM ETNoBUY97.6%$31
Oct 24, 12:38 AM ETYesBUY97.0%$63
Oct 23, 05:20 PM ETNoSELL2.9%$0
Oct 23, 05:17 PM ETNoSELL4.0%$1
Oct 23, 01:38 PM ETYesSELL2.2%$0
Oct 23, 01:32 PM ETYesBUY4.3%$1
Oct 23, 01:44 AM ETYesBUY96.0%$100
Oct 23, 01:39 AM ETYesBUY96.0%$100

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Jack Doherty Prison Time??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No Prison Time at 97.2%. Next is <2 Years at 2.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jack-doherty-prison-time?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Jack Doherty Prison Time??

$28.1K in total volume, with $186 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.

When does Jack Doherty Prison Time? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Jack Doherty Prison Time?, according to Polymarket traders?

No Prison Time, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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