As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No Prison Time at 97.2% in Jack Doherty Prison Time? — $28.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No Prison Time, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.6 pts; past week: +4.3 pts; past month: +5.1 pts.
Since November 20, 2025, No Prison Time has traded between 37.6% and 97.5%. It opened at 58.0% and last traded at 97.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 90.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.0% |
No Prison Time is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Prison Time | 97¢ | 97.2% | +3.6 pts | $15.2K | 54.1% |
| <2 Years | 2¢ | 2.4% | -3.2 pts | $3.7K | 13.3% |
| 2-5 Years | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.6 pts | $3.6K | 12.7% |
| 5+ Years | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.6K | 20.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.1K has been traded on this event in total, $186 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence. This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point. If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,146 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,146 | $32 |
| 0x91c363ac… | Yes | 593 | $576 |
| Tremendous-Mail | Yes | 579 | $563 |
| Muffled-Protein | Yes | 430 | $418 |
| Shocked-Stadium | Yes | 170 | $165 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 150 | $4 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 114 | $3 |
| Dirty-Sigh | No | 99 | $3 |
| Daring-Excellence | No | 72 | $2 |
| 0x4ad32cb6… | Yes | 60 | $58 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.1% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 02:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 4.9% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.6% | $31 |
| Oct 24, 12:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.0% | $63 |
| Oct 23, 05:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.9% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 05:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 01:38 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 01:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.3% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 01:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.0% | $100 |
| Oct 23, 01:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.0% | $100 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No Prison Time at 97.2%. Next is <2 Years at 2.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/jack-doherty-prison-time?via=bro
$28.1K in total volume, with $186 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No Prison Time, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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