As of October 24, 2026, 08:05 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Housewife - Tate McRae at 93.5% in Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31 — $30.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Housewife - Tate McRae, is priced at 93.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +23.0 pts; past week: +79.5 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, Housewife - Tate McRae has traded between 47.0% and 93.5%. It opened at 81.5% and last traded at 93.5%.
Housewife - Tate McRae is favored at 93.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Housewife - Tate McRae | 94¢ | 93.5% | +23.0 pts | $13.1K | 43.3% |
| Song 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 4 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 5 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 6 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 7 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley | 4¢ | 4.5% | -7.5 pts | $7.6K | 25.2% |
| Patient Zero - Taylor Swift | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $4.5K | 15.1% |
| Boston - Stella Lefty | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $398 | 1.3% |
| Been By Now - Morgan Wallen | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $279 | 0.9% |
| Solar Eclipse - Drake & Don Toliver | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $279 | 0.9% |
| expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $4.0K | 13.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 92¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$30.1K has been traded on this event in total, $2.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of October 31, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,047 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 4,047 | $263 |
| Yearly-Takeover | Yes | 2,529 | $2.4K |
| Spiffy-Win | Yes | 2,038 | $1.9K |
| Pesky-Eclipse | Yes | 450 | $421 |
| Each-Summary | Yes | 448 | $419 |
| Sympathetic-Prevention | No | 386 | $25 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 360 | $23 |
| Sneaky-Aggradation | Yes | 303 | $283 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 238 | $15 |
| Wry-Meatloaf | No | 207 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.9% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 01:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 5.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 07:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 8.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 07:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.7% | $28 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Housewife - Tate McRae at 93.5%. Next is Song 2 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/billboard-hot-100-2-song-week-of-october-31?via=bro
$30.1K in total volume, with $2.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Housewife - Tate McRae, priced at 93.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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