As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $500 at 99.0% in Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 26? — $1.4K traded so far.
$500 is favored at 99.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $500 | 99¢ | 99.0% | — | $797 | 58.0% |
| $510 | 82¢ | 81.5% | -9.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $520 | 66¢ | 66.5% | -2.0 pts | $5 | 0.3% |
| $530 | 16¢ | 15.5% | -4.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $540 | 6¢ | 5.9% | +2.9 pts | $574 | 41.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.4K has been traded on this event in total, $5 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on October 26, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 797 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pointed-Humidity | Yes | 797 | $789 |
| Colorful-Lyre | No | 365 | $4 |
| Evil-Row | No | 232 | $2 |
| Ironclad-Sleeping-Insurance | No | 200 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 05:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.4% | $570 |
| Oct 23, 04:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.7% | $795 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $500 at 99.0%. Next is $510 at 81.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/msft-close-above-on-october-26-2026?via=bro
$1.4K in total volume, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 04:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
$500, priced at 99.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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