As of October 24, 2026, 09:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $510 at 50.0% in Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on September 3? — $668 traded so far.
The leading outcome, $510, is priced at 50.0%.
Since September 02, 2026, $510 has traded between 6.5% and 50.0%. It opened at 6.5% and last traded at 50.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.0% |
$510 is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $510 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $13 | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 98¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$668 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end September 03, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 3, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breakable-Amazement | Yes | 7 | $3 |
| Snarling-Pantology | No | 7 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 03, 11:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $0 |
| Sep 03, 09:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 45.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is $510 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/msft-close-above-on-september-3-2026?via=bro
$668 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end September 03, 2026, 04:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
$510, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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