As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.7% in New pandemic in 2026? — $1.26M traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.7 pts; past week: -0.8 pts; past month: -2.1 pts.
Since December 01, 2025, No has traded between 80.5% and 96.6%. It opened at 80.5% and last traded at 96.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.6% |
No is favored at 96.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 96.7% | +0.7 pts | $1.26M | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 3.4% | -0.7 pts | $1.26M | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.26M has been traded on this event in total, $2.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 24,354 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wobbly-Chain | No | 24,354 | $23.5K |
| Defensive-Sunlamp | Yes | 20,934 | $701 |
| Cute-Oxford | No | 16,159 | $15.6K |
| Sure-Footed-Interest | No | 15,198 | $14.7K |
| Punctual-Sand | No | 12,527 | $12.1K |
| Different-Drawer | Yes | 12,000 | $402 |
| Precious-Radar-Anchovy | Yes | 11,950 | $400 |
| Outlandish-Advancement | Yes | 11,820 | $396 |
| Glistening-Die | No | 10,221 | $9.9K |
| Decent-Drop | No | 10,195 | $9.9K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $199 |
| Oct 24, 04:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 07:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.4% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:52 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.4% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.6% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:20 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.4% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.7%. Next is Yes at 3.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/new-pandemic-in-2026?via=bro
$1.26M in total volume, with $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.7% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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