As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 85.0% in OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? — $29.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 85.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.8 pts; past week: +0.7 pts; past month: +14.9 pts.
Since January 29, 2026, Yes has traded between 28.5% and 93.7%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 83.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 88.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 83.4% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 83.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 83.2% |
Yes is favored at 85.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 85¢ | 85.0% | +1.8 pts | $29.2K | 100.0% |
| No | 15¢ | 15.0% | -1.8 pts | $29.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 74¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$29.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,000 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our-Ton | Yes | 1,000 | $849 |
| Golden-Unemployment | Yes | 605 | $514 |
| Elementary-Timpani | Yes | 539 | $458 |
| Subdued-Revenant | No | 523 | $79 |
| Pink-Zampone | No | 463 | $70 |
| Ruddy-Warming-Snowplow | No | 400 | $60 |
| Evil-Row | No | 387 | $58 |
| Authorized-Mandolin | No | 366 | $55 |
| Far-Flung-Crab | No | 317 | $48 |
| Brave-Cornflakes | No | 263 | $40 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 4.0% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 10:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.2% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 11:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 4.2% | $2 |
| Oct 13, 07:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.6% | $14 |
| Oct 10, 09:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $9 |
| Oct 10, 09:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 29.9% | $3 |
| Oct 10, 08:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.0% | $14 |
| Oct 05, 01:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 74.7% | $2 |
| Oct 05, 01:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 12.5% | $7 |
| Oct 04, 07:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.8% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 85.0%. Next is No at 15.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/openai-1t-valuation-in-2026?via=bro
$29.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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