Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 19.5% in Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...? — $476.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $15.6K.
Leading outcome
December 31
20%
A 19.5% price implies roughly a 20-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +2.5 pts7D −13.0 pts
December 3119.5%
October 311.8%
Bid
19¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since October 03, 2026: 17.0% – 31.5% · Opened at 26.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
Category
Yemen, Houthis, ceasefire, Peace Deal, Geopolitics, Middle East, Saudi Arabia
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$476.6K
Volume (24h)
$15.6K
Liquidity
$139.1K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
December 31 — 19.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 19.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: -13.0 pts.

Since October 03, 2026, December 31 has traded between 17.0% and 31.5%. It opened at 26.0% and last traded at 19.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202631.0%
Oct 18, 202627.5%
Oct 19, 202630.5%
Oct 20, 202630.5%
Oct 22, 202630.5%
Oct 23, 202617.0%
Oct 24, 202619.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 19.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3120¢19.5%+2.5 pts$218.0K45.7%
October 312¢1.8%-1.1 pts$234.1K49.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 19¢ / ask 20¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$476.6K has been traded on this event in total, $15.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a ceasefire agreement between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. All listed countries/parties must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for a Yes resolution. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 49,514 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Unfolded-PocketwatchNo49,514$39.9K
Tough-ConscienceYes12,227$2.4K
Tremendous-DivideYes11,936$2.3K
Puny-ForumYes8,589$1.7K
Giving-PetticoatYes3,926$766
Charming-GrapeYes3,458$674
Flamboyant-WarmingYes2,450$478
Turbulent-Decline-RouterYes2,254$440
Unfit-ColeslawNo2,000$1.6K
Snappy-WardenNo2,000$1.6K

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $395 at 18.5%BUY Yes — $335 at 19.0%BUY No — $216 at 82.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:56 PM ETYesBUY19.0%$335
Oct 24, 04:56 PM ETYesBUY20.0%$55
Oct 24, 04:03 PM ETYesBUY19.0%$34
Oct 24, 04:03 PM ETNoBUY82.0%$216
Oct 24, 04:03 PM ETYesSELL19.0%$147
Oct 24, 02:35 PM ETYesBUY19.0%$10
Oct 24, 02:30 PM ETNoBUY82.0%$173
Oct 24, 02:26 PM ETYesBUY19.0%$10
Oct 24, 02:25 PM ETYesBUY19.0%$10
Oct 24, 02:17 PM ETYesSELL18.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 19.5%. Next is October 31 at 1.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-houthi-ceasefire-agreement-announced-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...??

$476.6K in total volume, with $15.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 19.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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