Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27)

As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Nobody Wants This: Season 3 at 71.0% in What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27) — $18.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $9.6K.
Leading outcome
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
71%
A 71.0% price implies roughly a 71-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +50.0 pts
Nobody Wants This: Season 371.0%
Placeholder A50.0%
Bid
63¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
16¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 23, 2026: 23.0% – 68.0% · Opened at 23.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27)
Category
Movies, Culture, netflix, Recurring, Top Netflix
Scheduled end
October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$18.3K
Volume (24h)
$9.6K
Liquidity
$6.1K
Markets
21
Leading outcome
Nobody Wants This: Season 3 — 71.0%
Resolution source
https://www.netflix.com/tudum/top10/united-states/tv

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Nobody Wants This: Season 3, is priced at 71.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +50.0 pts.

Since October 23, 2026, Nobody Wants This: Season 3 has traded between 23.0% and 68.0%. It opened at 23.0% and last traded at 68.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Nobody Wants This: Season 3 is favored at 71.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Nobody Wants This: Season 371¢71.0%+50.0 pts$11.2K61.2%
Placeholder A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
FROM: Season 111¢11.1%+6.6 pts$6843.7%
Love Is Blind: Boston10¢10.5%-42.5 pts$4.9K26.7%
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild1¢1.1%-0.4 pts$2981.6%
The New Stanford Prison Experiment: Season 11¢1.1%-0.2 pts$2081.1%
The Diplomat: Season 41¢0.6%-4.0 pts$2691.5%
TYSON: Limited Series0¢0.5%-1.2 pts$1490.8%
East of Eden: Limited Series0¢0.5%-1.7 pts$1490.8%
Below: Limited Series0¢0.2%-2.3 pts$4552.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 16¢ (bid 63¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$18.3K has been traded on this event in total, $9.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 21 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Resolution source: https://www.netflix.com/tudum/top10/united-states/tv

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,809 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Limited-Divalent-ClockNo2,809$815
Likely-CareYes2,099$1.5K
Full-VariabilityYes1,691$1.2K
Whole-AmbassadorNo1,032$299
Mild-UnitYes883$627
0xa5ef39c3…No303$88
Favorite-ClefNo282$82
Evil-RowYes250$178
Giant-Tabby-QuarterNo193$56
0x26b16660…No161$47

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $156 at 39.1%BUY Yes — $152 at 50.8%BUY Yes — $98 at 83.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:42 PM ETNoSELL23.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:42 PM ETYesBUY73.0%$5
Oct 24, 06:40 PM ETYesBUY13.0%$2
Oct 24, 06:15 PM ETNoSELL91.2%$18
Oct 24, 06:13 PM ETYesBUY9.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:09 PM ETNoSELL27.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:03 PM ETNoSELL27.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:00 PM ETYesSELL4.0%$0
Oct 24, 05:52 PM ETYesBUY7.0%$3
Oct 24, 05:49 PM ETNoSELL93.0%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27)?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Nobody Wants This: Season 3 at 71.0%. Next is Placeholder A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-top-us-netflix-show-this-week-october-27?via=bro

How much money has been traded on What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27)?

$18.3K in total volume, with $9.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 21 markets.

When does What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27) end?

The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.netflix.com/tudum/top10/united-states/tv.

What is the most likely outcome of What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27), according to Polymarket traders?

Nobody Wants This: Season 3, priced at 71.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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