As of October 24, 2026, 09:10 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Qatar at 70.0% in Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026? — $1.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Qatar, is priced at 70.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +16.5 pts; past month: +24.0 pts.
Since August 20, 2026, Qatar has traded between 21.0% and 75.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 70.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 70.0% |
Qatar is favored at 70.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar | 70¢ | 70.0% | — | $175 | 17.1% |
| UAE | 66¢ | 66.5% | — | $787 | 77.0% |
| Saudi Arabia | 7¢ | 7.0% | -0.5 pts | $60 | 5.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 38¢ (bid 51¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.0K has been traded on this event in total, $5 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 57 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delirious-Orator | Yes | 57 | $40 |
| Several-Subway | Yes | 56 | $39 |
| Weird-Holder | No | 52 | $16 |
| Young-Saw-Wildlife | No | 41 | $12 |
| Confused-Derby | Yes | 22 | $15 |
| Small-Pompom | No | 20 | $6 |
| Remote-Statue-Loaf | No | 16 | $5 |
| Lanky-Sign | No | 10 | $3 |
| Artistic-Firm | Yes | 5 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 50.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 06:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $8 |
| Oct 19, 05:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.8% | $267 |
| Oct 18, 06:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $34 |
| Oct 16, 10:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $4 |
| Oct 14, 10:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 04:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $3 |
| Oct 13, 05:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 25.0% | $2 |
| Oct 13, 05:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 02:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Qatar at 70.0%. Next is UAE at 66.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-host-an-f1-race-in-2026?via=bro
$1.0K in total volume, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.formula1.com/en/results.
Qatar, priced at 70.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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