As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 76.5% in Will Alix Earle attend an F1 race in 2026? — $2.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 76.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -11.0 pts; past month: +25.0 pts.
Since July 29, 2026, Yes has traded between 23.5% and 88.0%. It opened at 70.0% and last traded at 76.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 76.5% |
Yes is favored at 76.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 76¢ | 76.5% | — | $2.1K | 100.0% |
| No | 24¢ | 23.5% | — | $2.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 77¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Formula 1 season runs from March 2026 through the final race in Abu Dhabi, scheduled for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alix Earle attends any Formula 1 Grand Prix race from market creation until the end of the 2026 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 F1 season is canceled or all remaining races are postponed beyond December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during the race itself on race day. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 624 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hungry-Boutique | Yes | 624 | $478 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 366 | $86 |
| Authorized-Mandolin | No | 114 | $27 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 60 | $14 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 20 | $5 |
| Spicy-Neighbour | No | 20 | $5 |
| Speedy-Spine-Rowing | No | 20 | $5 |
| Motionless-Windshield-Lesson | No | 20 | $5 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 6 | $5 |
| True-Child-Bottling | No | 5 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 12:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 72.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 12:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 75.0% | $10 |
| Oct 20, 12:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 20, 12:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 14.5% | $17 |
| Oct 17, 02:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 77.0% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 02:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.0% | $16 |
| Oct 17, 02:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 17, 02:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.0% | $30 |
| Oct 15, 11:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 83.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 05:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 20.0% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 76.5%. Next is No at 23.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-alix-earle-attend-an-f1-race-in-2026-20260728202933346?via=bro
$2.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 76.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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