Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31

As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo at 93.6% in Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31 — $19.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $194.
Leading outcome
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo
94%
A 93.6% price implies roughly a 94-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −5.7 pts7D +68.6 pts
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo93.6%
Album B50.0%
Bid
93¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 18, 2026: 34.0% – 99.2% · Opened at 34.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31
Category
song, Music, album, Culture, Recurring, Taylor Swift
Scheduled end
October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$19.8K
Volume (24h)
$194
Liquidity
$13.9K
Markets
11
Leading outcome
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo — 93.6%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo, is priced at 93.6%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -5.7 pts; past week: +68.6 pts.

Since October 18, 2026, You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo has traded between 34.0% and 99.2%. It opened at 34.0% and last traded at 93.6%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo is favored at 93.6%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo94¢93.6%-5.7 pts$11.9K60.0%
Album B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Album C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Album D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Album E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Album F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore1¢0.5%—$1.4K7.1%
Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs0¢0.5%—$4.3K21.5%
Dandelion - Ella Langley0¢0.1%—$9124.6%
Drake - HABIBTI (FOMO)0¢0.1%—$8624.3%
Other0¢0.1%—$4802.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$19.8K has been traded on this event in total, $194 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of October 31, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,626 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Pesky-EclipseYes4,626$4.3K
0xa5ef39c3…No1,827$117
Dangerous-Fairness-AttentionNo833$53
Careful-BunchYes798$747
Mean-Recruit-IdeaNo399$26
Belated-GlueNo389$25
Velvety-BurnNo360$23
Evil-RowNo356$23
Yearly-TakeoverYes340$318
Gleaming-HandlebarNo289$18

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $294 at 91.1%BUY No — $154 at 81.0%BUY No — $136 at 42.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 01:22 PM ETNoBUY14.2%$3
Oct 24, 08:08 AM ETNoBUY1.0%$0
Oct 24, 07:56 AM ETNoBUY1.0%$1
Oct 23, 10:53 PM ETNoSELL0.1%$0
Oct 23, 06:41 PM ETNoBUY1.1%$0
Oct 23, 04:14 PM ETNoSELL0.1%$0
Oct 22, 07:12 PM ETNoBUY7.9%$2
Oct 22, 07:10 PM ETNoBUY2.0%$0
Oct 22, 08:56 AM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Oct 22, 08:34 AM ETNoSELL0.7%$0

Related markets

More song

Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31

Housewife - Tate McRae 93.5% · 24H VOL $2.9K

#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)

Housewife - Tate McRae 97.8% · 24H VOL $2.2K

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of November 7

Housewife - Tate McRae 55.0% · 24H VOL $2.0K

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 7

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo 92.5% · 24H VOL $2.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo at 93.6%. Next is Album B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/billboard-200-1-album-week-of-october-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31?

$19.8K in total volume, with $194 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.

When does Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31 end?

The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31, according to Polymarket traders?

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo, priced at 93.6% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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