As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 51.0% in Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of November 7 — $395 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley, is priced at 51.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +37.0 pts.
Since October 24, 2026, Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley has traded between 50.5% and 58.5%. It opened at 58.5% and last traded at 50.5%.
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley is favored at 51.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley | 51¢ | 51.0% | +37.0 pts | $326 | 82.5% |
| Song 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 4 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 5 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Song 6 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Housewife - Tate McRae | 30¢ | 29.5% | +15.5 pts | $40 | 10.1% |
| Patient Zero - Taylor Swift | 3¢ | 3.0% | -11.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan | 3¢ | 3.0% | -22.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Boston - Stella Lefty | 3¢ | 2.9% | -11.1 pts | $15 | 3.9% |
| Been By Now - Morgan Wallen | 3¢ | 2.9% | -10.1 pts | $8 | 2.1% |
| Solar Eclipse - Drake & Don Toliver | 2¢ | 1.8% | -2.6 pts | $5 | 1.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 34¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$395 has been traded on this event in total, $395 of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of November 7, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 313 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yearly-Takeover | Yes | 313 | $160 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 60 | $29 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 53 | $26 |
| Bossy-Birdcage-Period | No | 40 | $20 |
| Detailed-Parachute | No | 40 | $20 |
| Fine-Tassel | No | 20 | $10 |
| Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk | No | 20 | $10 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 20 | $10 |
| Sunny-Smoking | No | 20 | $10 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | No | 20 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.9% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 10:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 10:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.6% | $71 |
| Oct 24, 10:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 10:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 10:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 51.0%. Next is Song 1 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/billboard-hot-100-2-song-week-of-november-7?via=bro
$395 in total volume, with $395 traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley, priced at 51.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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