As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 0.6 – 1.0% at 61.5% in China Annual Inflation 2026 — $120.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 0.6 – 1.0%, is priced at 61.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +15.0 pts; past month: +40.5 pts.
Since January 22, 2026, 0.6 – 1.0% has traded between 12.5% and 63.5%. It opened at 32.0% and last traded at 52.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 58.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 52.5% |
0.6 – 1.0% is favored at 61.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 – 1.0% | 62¢ | 61.5% | -0.5 pts | $24.6K | 20.4% |
| 1.1 – 1.5% | 24¢ | 24.0% | — | $25.1K | 20.9% |
| 0.1 – 0.5% | 12¢ | 11.6% | -0.5 pts | $12.4K | 10.3% |
| 1.6 – 2.0% | 2¢ | 2.4% | +0.1 pts | $9.2K | 7.6% |
| -0.4 – 0.0% | 1¢ | 1.1% | -0.9 pts | $6.1K | 5.1% |
| -0.9 – -0.5% | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $5.3K | 4.4% |
| 2.5%+ | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $5.7K | 4.8% |
| <-1.0% | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $21.0K | 17.4% |
| 2.0-2.4% | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $10.9K | 9.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 61¢ / ask 62¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$120.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,759 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subdued-Revenant | Yes | 3,759 | $2.3K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,971 | $1.1K |
| Few-Prevention | No | 983 | $378 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 892 | $343 |
| Monthly-Riding | Yes | 702 | $432 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 555 | $214 |
| Unsightly-Puma | Yes | 230 | $141 |
| Powerful-Waste | Yes | 160 | $98 |
| Tan-Reduction | No | 138 | $53 |
| 0x3a9dad53… | Yes | 131 | $81 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 09:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 38.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 07:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 07:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 59.0% | $45 |
| Oct 23, 06:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 05:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 05:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $13 |
| Oct 22, 05:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 59.0% | $35 |
| Oct 22, 11:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 44.0% | $48 |
| Oct 22, 02:48 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 59.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 0.6 – 1.0% at 61.5%. Next is 1.1 – 1.5% at 24.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/china-annual-inflation-2026?via=bro
$120.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/.
0.6 – 1.0%, priced at 61.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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