As of October 24, 2026, 07:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 0.8-1.1% at 66.5% in Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 — $74.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 0.8-1.1%, is priced at 66.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +15.0 pts; past month: +15.0 pts.
Since July 31, 2026, 0.8-1.1% has traded between 33.0% and 67.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 67.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 61.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 67.5% |
0.8-1.1% is favored at 66.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8-1.1% | 66¢ | 66.5% | — | $48.8K | 65.4% |
| 1.2-1.5% | 12¢ | 12.4% | -8.1 pts | $8.1K | 10.8% |
| 0.4-0.7% | 8¢ | 8.1% | -0.8 pts | $10.3K | 13.8% |
| 0.0-0.3% | 4¢ | 3.8% | +0.4 pts | $2.0K | 2.7% |
| 1.6-1.9% | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $2.0K | 2.7% |
| <0.0% | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.9K | 2.5% |
| 2.0%+ | 1¢ | 0.5% | +0.1 pts | $1.5K | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$74.6K has been traded on this event in total, $32 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 02:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,310 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,310 | $439 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 272 | $181 |
| Lonely-Pronunciation-Jewellery | Yes | 225 | $150 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 209 | $70 |
| Rash-Login-Caramel | Yes | 200 | $133 |
| Equal-Brass | Yes | 161 | $107 |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet | Yes | 158 | $105 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 140 | $93 |
| 0xd0d90cd5… | Yes | 110 | $73 |
| Tiny-Pea | Yes | 100 | $66 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 30.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 09:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 08:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 06:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.9% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 05:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.5% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 05:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 25.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 05:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.1% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 04:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 32.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 03:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 0.8-1.1% at 66.5%. Next is 1.2-1.5% at 12.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/eurozone-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026?via=bro
$74.6K in total volume, with $32 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 02:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators.
0.8-1.1%, priced at 66.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.