As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.7% in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? — $18.72M traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +1.0 pts; past month: -0.3 pts.
Since May 04, 2026, No has traded between 90.1% and 98.7%. It opened at 95.0% and last traded at 97.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.7% |
No is favored at 97.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 97.7% | +0.1 pts | $18.72M | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 2.4% | -0.1 pts | $18.72M | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.72M has been traded on this event in total, $2.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100,000 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Molecule | No | 100,000 | $97.6K |
| Unusual-Crest | Yes | 91,584 | $2.2K |
| Calm-Breeze | Yes | 91,087 | $2.1K |
| Bleak-Lava | No | 82,335 | $80.4K |
| Glamorous-Stitcher | No | 74,141 | $72.4K |
| Left-Peripheral | No | 70,285 | $68.6K |
| Idle-Rainstorm | Yes | 70,252 | $1.7K |
| Vapid-Validate | No | 65,319 | $63.8K |
| 0x8931aa50… | No | 49,672 | $48.5K |
| Mediocre-Wren | No | 49,413 | $48.3K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:28 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:51 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:39 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $975 |
| Oct 24, 07:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 07:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.6% | $976 |
| Oct 24, 06:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 05:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.7%. Next is Yes at 2.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026?via=bro
$18.72M in total volume, with $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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