As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 2.5–2.9% at 34.5% in South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026? — $63.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 2.5–2.9%, is priced at 34.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past month: +9.5 pts.
Since July 24, 2026, 2.5–2.9% has traded between 18.5% and 63.5%. It opened at 30.0% and last traded at 34.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 34.5% |
2.5–2.9% is favored at 34.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–2.9% | 34¢ | 34.5% | +4.0 pts | $14.5K | 23.0% |
| 3.0–3.4% | 31¢ | 31.0% | +0.5 pts | $27.0K | 42.8% |
| 3.5–3.9% | 20¢ | 20.2% | -0.2 pts | $2.4K | 3.8% |
| 2.0–2.4% | 6¢ | 6.5% | -6.5 pts | $14.3K | 22.6% |
| <2.0% | 3¢ | 3.2% | -1.7 pts | $1.4K | 2.2% |
| 4.0–4.4% | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.1 pts | $1.4K | 2.2% |
| 4.5–4.9% | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | 1.6% |
| 5.0%+ | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | 1.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 33¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$63.2K has been traded on this event in total, $199 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 970 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 970 | $635 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 182 | $63 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 122 | $42 |
| Glamorous-Shirt | Yes | 120 | $41 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 120 | $78 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 116 | $40 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | Yes | 88 | $30 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 76 | $49 |
| Speedy-Nibble | Yes | 60 | $21 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 60 | $21 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.5% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 06:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 06:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $41 |
| Oct 24, 07:20 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 08:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 04:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 2.5–2.9% at 34.5%. Next is 3.0–3.4% at 31.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/south-korea-gdp-growth-yoy-in-q3-2026-20260723231127764?via=bro
$63.2K in total volume, with $199 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10.
2.5–2.9%, priced at 34.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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