As of October 24, 2026, 09:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Petr Yan at 71.5% in UFC: Who Will Song Yadong Fight Next? — $476 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Petr Yan, is priced at 71.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +29.5 pts; past week: +38.5 pts; past month: +22.0 pts.
Since August 31, 2026, Petr Yan has traded between 22.5% and 50.5%. It opened at 48.0% and last traded at 42.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 40.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 40.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 42.0% |
Petr Yan is favored at 71.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petr Yan | 72¢ | 71.5% | +29.5 pts | $185 | 38.9% |
| Fighter A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mario Bautista | 30¢ | 29.5% | -2.0 pts | $85 | 17.9% |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 24¢ | 23.5% | -25.0 pts | $206 | 43.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 33¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$476 has been traded on this event in total, $456 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end August 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Song Yadong is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Song Yadong is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by August 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 175 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearty-Likelihood | Yes | 175 | $125 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | No | 100 | $28 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 85 | $24 |
| Bubbly-Optimal | Yes | 10 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $85 |
| Oct 24, 04:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 04:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 59.6% | $104 |
| Oct 24, 04:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.1% | $71 |
| Sep 06, 12:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $10 |
| Sep 06, 12:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Petr Yan at 71.5%. Next is Fighter A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-song-yadong-next-fight?via=bro
$476 in total volume, with $456 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end August 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Petr Yan, priced at 71.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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