As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 0.6–0.7% at 64.5% in UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? — $44.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 0.6–0.7%, is priced at 64.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +16.4 pts; past month: +34.6 pts.
Since August 13, 2026, 0.6–0.7% has traded between 3.7% and 64.9%. It opened at 34.5% and last traded at 64.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 47.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 63.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 64.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 64.5% |
0.6–0.7% is favored at 64.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6–0.7% | 64¢ | 64.5% | — | $5.7K | 12.9% |
| 0.4–0.5% | 16¢ | 16.5% | -1.5 pts | $9.5K | 21.5% |
| 0.8–0.9% | 11¢ | 11.5% | +2.3 pts | $2.1K | 4.6% |
| 0.0–0.1% | 3¢ | 2.8% | +0.1 pts | $8.9K | 20.0% |
| 0.2–0.3% | 1¢ | 1.5% | -3.5 pts | $11.1K | 25.1% |
| Negative | 1¢ | 1.1% | -0.4 pts | $6.0K | 13.6% |
| 1.0%+ | 1¢ | 1.0% | -1.6 pts | $1.1K | 2.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 64¢ / ask 65¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$44.4K has been traded on this event in total, $150 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolution source: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,506 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,506 | $535 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 1,158 | $747 |
| Agreeable-Opportunist | Yes | 616 | $397 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 464 | $300 |
| Equal-Brass | No | 390 | $139 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 247 | $88 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 118 | $42 |
| Faraway-Chive-Cheese | Yes | 100 | $64 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 95 | $34 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 77 | $50 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.6% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 07:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 11:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 80.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 10:51 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.9% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 04:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 02:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 01:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 73.0% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 0.6–0.7% at 64.5%. Next is 0.4–0.5% at 16.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uk-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026-qoq-20260813112748100?via=bro
$44.4K in total volume, with $150 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases.
0.6–0.7%, priced at 64.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.