Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

What will the median home value in the Dallas Metro area be on December 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $379K - $383K at 38.0% in What will the median home value in the Dallas Metro area be on December 31? — $8 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
$379K - $383K
38%
A 38.0% price implies roughly a 38-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.0 pts7D +6.0 pts
$379K - $383K38.0%
$383K - $387K34.0%
Bid
14¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
48¢
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Range since October 01, 2026: 13.5% – 39.0% · Opened at 25.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
What will the median home value in the Dallas Metro area be on December 31?
Category
Parcl, Economy, Housing, Recurring, real estate
Scheduled end
January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$8
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$444
Markets
7
Leading outcome
$379K - $383K — 38.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, $379K - $383K, is priced at 38.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +6.0 pts.

Since October 01, 2026, $379K - $383K has traded between 13.5% and 39.0%. It opened at 25.5% and last traded at 37.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202632.5%
Oct 18, 202632.0%
Oct 19, 202636.0%
Oct 20, 202631.5%
Oct 23, 202629.5%
Oct 24, 202639.0%
Oct 24, 202637.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

$379K - $383K is favored at 38.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
$379K - $383K38¢38.0%-1.0 pts$00.0%
$383K - $387K34¢34.0%+1.5 pts$00.0%
$387K - $391K29¢29.0%—$00.0%
<$379K28¢28.0%-9.0 pts$8100.0%
$395K - $399K22¢22.5%+0.5 pts$00.0%
$391K - $395K20¢20.5%-8.5 pts$00.0%
$399K+20¢20.5%—$00.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 48¢ (bid 14¢ / ask 62¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$8 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Dallas, Texas Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Dallas, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2899734). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000 square feet, which is the median home size in the Dallas, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/64)

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $4 at 49.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 06, 09:42 AM ETYesBUY49.0%$4

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of What will the median home value in the Dallas Metro area be on December 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is $379K - $383K at 38.0%. Next is $383K - $387K at 34.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-dallas-metro-area-be-on-december-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on What will the median home value in the Dallas Metro area be on December 31??

$8 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.

When does What will the median home value in the Dallas Metro area be on December 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of What will the median home value in the Dallas Metro area be on December 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

$379K - $383K, priced at 38.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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