As of October 24, 2026, 09:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $463K - $468K at 45.0% in What will the median home value in the Denver Metro area be on December 31? — $25 traded so far.
The leading outcome, $463K - $468K, is priced at 45.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +16.5 pts; past week: +12.5 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, $463K - $468K has traded between 13.5% and 45.5%. It opened at 25.5% and last traded at 45.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 32.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 33.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 41.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 45.5% |
$463K - $468K is favored at 45.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $463K - $468K | 45¢ | 45.0% | +16.5 pts | $9 | 34.5% |
| $458K - $463K | 42¢ | 42.0% | -12.5 pts | $9 | 35.2% |
| $473K - $478K | 40¢ | 39.5% | +19.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| <$458K | 39¢ | 39.0% | +19.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $478K - $482K | 39¢ | 39.0% | +24.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $468K - $473K | 38¢ | 38.0% | +17.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $482K+ | 36¢ | 36.0% | +17.5 pts | $8 | 30.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 48¢ (bid 21¢ / ask 69¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$25 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Denver, Colorado Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Denver, Colorado Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2899750). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Denver, Colorado Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/63)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 9 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 9 | $4 |
| 0xedafc523… | No | 9 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 12:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 12:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 10:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 10:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is $463K - $468K at 45.0%. Next is $458K - $463K at 42.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-denver-metro-area-be-on-december-31?via=bro
$25 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
$463K - $468K, priced at 45.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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