As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 87.5% in Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? — $9.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 87.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +4.6 pts; past month: +3.1 pts.
Since January 29, 2026, No has traded between 58.5% and 97.5%. It opened at 63.0% and last traded at 87.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 91.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 93.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.5% |
No is favored at 87.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 88¢ | 87.5% | — | $9.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $9.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm. Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Resolution source: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,981 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Immediate-Fright | No | 1,981 | $1.7K |
| Embellished-Doorbell | Yes | 433 | $54 |
| Cumbersome-Driveway | Yes | 327 | $41 |
| Well-Groomed-Imprisonment | Yes | 320 | $40 |
| Cruel-Patient | No | 300 | $262 |
| 0x115d1ce1… | Yes | 179 | $22 |
| Unlucky-Comparison | No | 177 | $155 |
| Candid-Compress-Pick | Yes | 168 | $21 |
| Decent-Beginner | Yes | 128 | $16 |
| Unrealistic-Catsup | No | 125 | $109 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 12:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 12:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 07:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.2% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 03:52 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.3% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 02:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.2% | $0 |
| Oct 05, 01:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.1% | $16 |
| Sep 25, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.8% | $19 |
| Sep 21, 07:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.5% | $1 |
| Sep 17, 11:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.6% | $9 |
| Sep 10, 05:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.4% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 87.5%. Next is Yes at 12.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-canada-have-the-highest-unemployment-rate-since-2016-this-year?via=bro
$9.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
No, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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