As of October 24, 2026, 08:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 86.0% in Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027? — $3.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 86.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -5.0 pts; past month: -12.0 pts.
Since September 24, 2026, No has traded between 73.0% and 86.0%. It opened at 73.0% and last traded at 86.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 86.0% |
No is favored at 86.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 86¢ | 86.0% | +0.5 pts | $3.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 14¢ | 14.0% | -0.5 pts | $3.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 15¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Islam Makhachev officially announces his retirement from the UFC by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Islam Makhachev is retiring from the UFC. The announcement must come from Islam Makhachev himself or his official representatives. An announcement that Makhachev is leaving the UFC while continuing to compete professionally in mixed martial arts or another combat sport will qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately. An announcement that Makhachev intends to retire at an unspecified future date, or after a specified number of additional bouts, will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Islam Makhachev; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 400 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weird-Freedom | No | 400 | $344 |
| Few-Prevention | Yes | 387 | $54 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Period | No | 300 | $258 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 244 | $34 |
| Big-Repair | No | 130 | $112 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 87 | $12 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 50 | $7 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 40 | $6 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 30 | $4 |
| Messy-Piano-Vendor | No | 9 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 09:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.0% | $39 |
| Oct 22, 08:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $249 |
| Oct 15, 08:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $3 |
| Oct 15, 06:43 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 06:42 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $45 |
| Oct 15, 06:42 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 06:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 06:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $6 |
| Oct 15, 06:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $9 |
| Oct 15, 06:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.8% | $16 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 86.0%. Next is Yes at 14.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-islam-makhachev-retire-from-the-ufc-by-the-end-of-2027?via=bro
$3.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 86.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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