As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 1.6 to 1.8% at 48.0% in Argentina Monthly Inflation - October — $21.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 1.6 to 1.8%, is priced at 48.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: +3.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, 1.6 to 1.8% has traded between 26.5% and 48.5%. It opened at 26.5% and last traded at 48.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 36.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 46.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 46.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 48.0% |
1.6 to 1.8% is favored at 48.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 to 1.8% | 48¢ | 48.0% | -3.0 pts | $4.9K | 22.7% |
| 1.9 to 2.1% | 34¢ | 34.0% | +17.5 pts | $12.1K | 55.7% |
| 2.2 to 2.4% | 4¢ | 4.2% | -17.2 pts | $1.5K | 7.1% |
| 2.8 to 3.0% | 3¢ | 2.6% | +2.1 pts | $512 | 2.4% |
| 2.5 to 2.7% | 2¢ | 2.5% | +0.3 pts | $878 | 4.0% |
| 1.3 to 1.5% | 2¢ | 1.9% | -4.7 pts | $791 | 3.7% |
| 3.1%+ | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $521 | 2.4% |
| ≤1.2% | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.6 pts | $452 | 2.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 46¢ / ask 50¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$21.7K has been traded on this event in total, $4.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 12, 2026, 02:00 PM ET.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in October 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026, currently scheduled to be released on November 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional". Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,180 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alienated-Horst | Yes | 1,180 | $566 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 501 | $261 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 453 | $235 |
| Menacing-Ideal | Yes | 394 | $189 |
| Guilty-Spring | No | 213 | $111 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 209 | $109 |
| Few-Prevention | No | 112 | $58 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 100 | $52 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 65 | $34 |
| Lively-Latitude | Yes | 51 | $25 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 12:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 11:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 49.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 11:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 48.3% | $103 |
| Oct 24, 11:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 04:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 33.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:25 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.1% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 10:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 08:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.5% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 08:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.1% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 1.6 to 1.8% at 48.0%. Next is 1.9 to 2.1% at 34.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/argentina-monthly-inflation-october-2026?via=bro
$21.7K in total volume, with $4.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 12, 2026, 02:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31.
1.6 to 1.8%, priced at 48.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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